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ETB’s NFL Week 11 Hangover

November 19, 2007

(Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)(Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)

- Purple Jesus is clearly one of the best running backs in the NFL, and Chester Taylor is certainly no slouch either, but it’s time to give it up for the Minnesota Vikings offensive line. The league’s best rushing offense, which at 178 yards/per averages 40 more than the next closest team, didn’t miss a beat against the overmatched Raiders on Sunday, as Taylor went off for 164 yards rushing (7.5 YPC!), 38 yards receiving, and three visits to the endzone. Nine out of ten successful running backs owe a big hat tip to their lineman (see Emmitt Smith), and both Vikings’ backs are certainly no exception. After a road game and so-so matchup against the Giants in Week 12, Minny gets two juicy matchups against the Lions and 49ers.

- When you need a big play, and your best playmakers have been making–as NFL broadcasters have become fond of saying lately–”good football plays” throughout the game, why oh why would you not turn to them in crunch time? With his team down by just six points late in the fourth quarter, Detroit Lions QB Jon Kitna decided to lock in on and force the ball to Shaun McDonald, the Lions’ coaching staff decided to limit Megatron Johnson’s snaps (3 receptions, 45 yards, 1 TD), and Roy Williams was not given a chance to redeem himself for missing that wide-open touchdown catch. The result was two Kitna picks in the final minutes, 3-5 McDonald drops, and a 16-10 fluke win for the Giants.

- So, Randy Moss and Tom Brady are pretty good. Both are well on their way to having the best ever season in NFL history at their respective positions. Moss looked like the Jolly Green Giant out there Sunday night, towering over the hapless Bills’ secondary and basically doing whatever he pleased. Moss finished with 10 catches for 128 yards and 4 touchdowns, but he probably could have had six scores if the Pats didn’t show a little mercy. That’s right, Bills fans–they could have run it up a lot more. And honestly, we wish they had. Whether you like them or not, we’ve maybe never seen an offensive machine like this one. Why should the Pats be bashful about it? If opposing teams don’t like it, the best way to stop them from scoring is to play defense. It’s that simple.

- Reggie Bush is not a good running back. He’s a fantastic receiver out of the backfield, he’s elusive in the open field, and he’s fairly solid at finding the endzone. But at this stage in his young career, he does not excel at running after a handoff. At all. It’s on HC Sean Payton and his staff this offseason to figure out how to best utilize Bush’s skillset, and to decide whether or not they need to go out and get a more reliable every-down back to run the ball. We have our doubts about Deuce McAllister’s ability to bounce back from yet another big injury, and the fact that Bush has still only rushed for over 100 yards once in his career has to be troubling for the Saints. Bush finished with 15 carries for 34 yards (2.3 YPC) and 12 catches for 70 yards in his team’s 23-10 loss to the Texans.

- Andre Johnson is back, and in a big way. After Johnson told reporters that he was basically learning to walk again during rehab, we had serious concerns about his ability to come back strong this season. Those doubts were erased very quickly after a 73-yard touchdown reception with 10:44 remaining in the first quarter. Johnson finished with 6 receptions, 120 yards and 1 TD and is once again a weekly must-start. The man throwing the ball to Johnson, Matt Schaub, also becomes a solid QB2 and borderline QB1 option with the return of his best receiver. Schaub went 21-for-33 for 293 yards and 2 TDs. He’s a strong play this week at Cleveland, but unfortunately the schedule gets pretty difficult after that.

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No CommentsPosted by Andrew Thell and Brian Spencer on Nov. 19, 2007 at 12:30pm in NFL, NFL Fantasy News

ETB’s NFL Week Eleven Crystal Ball

November 16, 2007

We’re all about the ballsy predictions here at ETB. We’re always analyzing and second-guessing other “expert” picks, but we’ll put our balls on the table, too. Crystal balls. You can look at them, but you most definitely cannot touch them, for only we can harness the power of these magical balls. In the days leading up to Sunday’s NFL action, we both gaze into the void, transcend this earthly plane, feel the force and post the daring predictions that present themselves.

Many will come true (we’re state-certified seers), one or two of them may not. You had better believe we’ll be bragging about them when we nail it. Repeatedly. In your face. And if/when we miss, it’ll be like it never happened. You’ll forget about it. Hey, look at me–you will forget about our misses.

It’s the latest edition of ETB’s NFL Crystal Ball, where we never pull a Homer Simpson.

Look out, Denver!!!

Andrew’s Predictions:

1. After the Jaguars lost Marcus Stroud, I decided it was a good idea to start LenDale White over Selvin Young on one of my fantasy squads last week. That didn’t go so well. LenDale rushed just 8 times for a putrid 12 yards (6 of those came on one carry, leaving 6 total yards for the other 7 rushes). It cost me the matchup, but the Stay Puft Marshmallow Man makes it up to me this weekend in Denver: 22 rushes, 108 yards, 1 TD.

2. Daunte Culpepper desperately wants to stick it to the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday after ending his relationship with the team acrimoniously (to say the least). Unfortunately, Culpepper just isn’t that good anymore, and if he tries to force it he’s going to generate turnovers, even against one of the worst pass defenses in football. Look for at least 3 of Daunte’s signature TOs. I’m half expecting a Jamarcus Russel sighting.

3. The Cleveland Browns have only beaten the Baltimore Ravens twice in the same season one time since former owner Art Modell moved the old Browns to Baltimore in 1995, and that was back in 2001. The Browns complete another sweep on Sunday: 27-17.

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1 CommentPosted by Andrew Thell and Brian Spencer on Nov. 16, 2007 at 6:34pm in NFL

Fantasy Football: Week Eleven Cheat Sheet

November 16, 2007


Credit: UPI

Plugging in your studs at RB, QB, and WR is easy. Filling in the extremities of your roster every week is not. We agonize over these decisions until 5 minutes before kickoff, then kick ourselves about the guys we started 10 minutes after kickoff. We’re talking about the WR/TE Flex and WR/RB Flex plays, and they’re a bitch.

Our Position Rankings now include more running backs and wide receivers, so you can now refer to those ranks for your WR3 and RB2 options. From here on out, ETB’s Cheat Sheet only focuses on those crucial flex-spot ranks.

It’s time to get wild and ka-ra-zee with ETB’s Week Eleven Fantasy Cheat Sheet.

Week 11 Cheat Sheet Rankings

ROD MAR / THE SEATTLE TIMES

Week 11 Wide Receiver/Tight End Flex Plays

1. DJ Hackett, Seattle vs. CHI
2. Donald Lee, Green Bay vs. CAR
3. Derrick Mason, Baltimore vs. CLE
4. Deion Branch, Seattle vs. CHI
5. Greg Olsen, Chicago @ SEA
6. Owen Daniels, Houston vs. NO
7. Bernard Berrian, Chicago @ SEA
8. Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City @ IND
9. Chris Henry, Cincinnati vs. ARZ
10. Alge Crumpler, Atlanta vs. TB

Fortune Cookies: After missing six games, D.J. Hackett has returned with a bang, totaling 14 catches, 159 yards, and 2 TDs in the last two weeks… If it’s consistency you’re after from your W/T flex spot, Donald Lee has not caught less than 3 passes in any given week this season… The Baltimore Ravens’ passing game is a joke, but it’d be an absolute insult to the game of football if Derrick Mason wasn’t around to average 7.3 receptions and about 66 yards/per… He’s missed more games than he’s played in this year, but Deion Branch should be good to and the Seahawks have no running game to speak of… Greg Olsen laid a goose egg last week, but he should bounce back strong and be a primary option for the Bears over the middle. Keep an eye on his rapport with Rex Grossman, as the two haven’t played together much this season… With Matt Schaub back behind center, Owen Daniels should post strong numbers against the weak New Orleans defense… About the only good thing about Rex Grossman is how he boosts Bernard Berrian’s fantasy value, which we saw immediately last week when they hooked up on a long TD strike… For a second it looked like Dwayne Bowe had hit the rookie wall, but he put up 9 receptions for 105 yards last week against Champ Bailey and the Broncos. He’s clearly the WR1 for Kansas City… Chris Henry looked strong last week, and the Cincinnati passing game has been desperate for another option, especially in the red zone. He’s always a threat to score, and should put up yards against the Cards’ nickel back… We’re not huge Alge Crumpler fans here at ETB, but this is a game where Tampa will take away the deep ball and the Falcons should be looking for Crumpler often underneath, assuming he’s healthy…

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2 CommentsPosted by Andrew Thell and Brian Spencer on Nov. 16, 2007 at 2:50pm in NFL Fantasy News

NBA Front-Row Seat: Darko Milicic, LaMarcus Aldridge, Yi Jianlian, and More

November 15, 2007

Copyright 2007 NBAE (Photo by Gary Dineen/NBAE/Getty Images)
Copyright 2007 NBAE (Photo by Gary Dineen/NBAE/Getty Images)

“Get your hands off me, you don’t know who I am, I’m a power player, I’m a power player.” – Clutch, “Power Player”

- He’s still best known as “The Human Victory Cigar,” as the Milwaukee Bucks broadcasting team dutifully noted during Wednesday’s Bucks/Grizzlies thriller (that “thriller” descriptor comes without a trace of sarcasm). But we have to give it up to Darko Milicic for his surprising performance in the early stages of this NBA season. Gone is the wiry teenager with bleached-blond hair and an air of entitlement; meet the new Darko, who’s clearly been in the weight room and for the first time in his still-young career is actually earning his minutes, not having them gifted upon him for being an ex-second overall pick.

He more than held his own against Yao in Tuesday’s upset of the Rockets (20 points, 6 boards, 2 steals, 2 blocks, 63% FG), and on the season is averaging 11.1 points, 8.4 rebounds, 2 blocks, and 49% from the field. It’s not all good, though: someone please tell him that mustache makes him look like a sleazy Yugoslavian gangsta. Actually, we wouldn’t be surprised if that’s what he’s going for…

- With Ben Wallace sadly declining into mediocrity in just the second season of his lucrative four-year, $60 million deal, and the Bulls searching for any kind of consistency from someone, anyone in the post (much less the entire team), we can’t help but wonder if GM Jim Paxson isn’t second-guessing himself on the draft day deal he swung last year with the surging Portland Trail Blazers. As casual NBA fans undoubtedly recall, Paxson swapped LaMarcus Aldridge for Tyrus Thomas, and while both have improved in their sophomore campaigns, right now Aldridge is clearly the better player, especially on the offensive end.

Against the Detroit Pistons Tuesday night at the Rose Garden, with old Blazer Rasheed Wallace checking him for most of the night, Aldridge put his hard hat on and turned in yet another impressive performance. He showed a bevy of slick moves on the blocks, nailed jumpers from the top of the key, rebounded, hustled, and at least on this night, outperformed Wallace (who’s having a fine season himself). On the night he finished with 22 points and 10 boards, and was obviously a key performer in his team’s upset, their second straight over a NBA powerhouse (the Mavs being the other). He’s dangerously close to averaging 20 and 10 and capable of busting out for 30 on any given night.

- Speaking of the Detroit Pistons, how about that improbable comeback win Wednesday night in Golden State? The deck certainly seemed stacked against them: the second game of a back-to-back, on the road, missing two starters (Chauncey Billups, Antonio McDyess), and facing a well-rested, uptempo team desperate for their first win of the season. It certainly didn’t look good for Detroit early, as Baron Davis was absolutely on fire and the Warriors staked an early 22-point lead. Displaying an unflappable veteran resolve, the Pistons never panicked, slowly whittled down the lead, and in the end walked away with a seven-point victory. The key was Flip Saunder’s switch to a zone defense in the third quarter that left Golden State settling for outside jumpers the rest of the game. Big ups to ETB favorite Jason Maxiell, who got the start in place of McDyess, stayed out of foul trouble, and put up 14 points, 14 boards, 3 blocks, and 5 assists.

Though they’ve posted a solid 6-2 record despite a brutal early schedule (8 of their first 10 games on the road) and various minor injuries to key players, the Pistons are flying well under the radar and are getting very little love on most NBA sites and blogs we frequent. This year’s team could be their deepest in years, especially considering we still haven’t seen first-round pick Rodney Stuckey in action yet (broken non-shooting hand). Hell, even Nazr Mohammed is contributing. The Celtics look fantastic, but you’d be foolish to sleep on Detroit.

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4 CommentsPosted by Brian Spencer on Nov. 15, 2007 at 11:39pm in NBA

Fantasy Football: Week Eleven Position Ranks

November 15, 2007

Romo is rolling

Sound the trumpets and find Andy Reid’s “little card” bearing Dwarf–ETB’s Week Eleven position ranks are walking down the aisle, and you’re invited to the after party. Read on for our top 20 QBs, 30 RBs, 36 WRs, 15 TEs, and 15 Team Defenses based on past performance, injuries, bye weeks, and matchups. And hey, we’re watching you: don’t think we don’t know when you go elsewhere for expert fantasy analysis. It makes us sad. And angry. To be on the safe side, just… don’t… do it. ETB has everything you need, though fantasy kickers are living jokes and we don’t deal with them. So you can go to another site for them, and them only.

More Week Eleven Fantasy Advice:

ETB’s Week Eleven Matchups

ETB’s Week Eleven Stock Report

ETB’s Week Eleven Cheat Sheet

Fantasy Week Eleven: Top 20 Quarterbacks

Wayne Brady's Younger Brother

1. Tom Brady, New England @ BUF
2. Tony Romo, Dallas vs. WSH
3. Brett Favre, Green Bay vs. CAR
4. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis vs. KC
5. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh @ NYJ
6. Drew Brees, New Orleans @ HOU
7. Donovan McNabb, Philadelphia vs. MIA
8. Matt Hasselbeck, Seattle vs. CHI
9. Marc Bulger, St. Louis @ SF
10. Carson Palmer, Cincinnati vs. ARZ
11. Derek Anderson, Cleveland @ BAL
12. Eli Manning, New York Giants @ DET
13. Kurt Warner, Arizona @ CIN
14. Jon Kitna, Detroit vs. NYG
15. Jeff Garcia, Tampa Bay @ ATL
16. Philip Rivers, San Diego @ JAX
17. Jason Campbell, Washington @ DAL
18. Vince Young, Tennessee @ DEN
19. J.P. Losman, Buffalo vs. NE
20. Jay Cutler, Denver vs. TEN

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3 CommentsPosted by Andrew Thell and Brian Spencer on Nov. 15, 2007 at 2:42pm in Fantasy Rankings

Fantasy Football: Week Eleven Matchups

November 14, 2007

By Thomas B. Shea, US Presswire

It’s not all fun and games anymore. Your co-worker’s smack talk is starting to hit a little too close to home. People are writing you off, and you don’t like it. Your boss is on the verge of elimination, and you want nothing more than to seal the deal. That cocky guy in marketing needs somebody to fix his wagon, and you desperately want to be the one to do it. We understand. We’re here to help. It’s Week 11 of the NFL season, and ETB’s Matchups are more important than ever. You need our break down of a few key fantasy matchups at all the positions that matter (sorry, kickers make us depressed). Well, here they are. For each roster spot we’ve listed Five Strong Plays, a few players to Temper Your Expectations for, one Sneaky Play of the Week, and one Dud of the Week.

As always, these are not always the guys we think will score the most points or score the least points: there will always be obvious situations and choices we ignore. These also aren’t all sneaky plays. These are just the matchups that we think deserve mention*.

With the NBA season underway, we’ve instituted a small change in format to the matchups from here on out. Don’t worry, the gist of it is that you get to crack open more ETB Fortune Cookies every week now.

Kicking ass and chewing bubble gum, it’s ETB’s Week Eleven Fantasy Football Matchups.

Five Strong Quarterback Plays

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh @ NYJ
Tony Romo, Dallas vs. WSH
Marc Bulger, St. Louis @ SF
Donovan McNabb, Philadelphia vs. MIA
Derek Anderson, Cleveland @ BAL

Fortune Cookies: Jets being duds and Steelers being studs this week is a common theme in our Week Eleven matchups, and it starts with Ben Roethlisberger, who has 13 touchdown passes (and 1 rushing) in his past four games. Pittsburgh will likely build a big league early, which could limit his attempts in the second half, but he should kill this secondary whenever he drops back… Tony Romo is coming off three consecutive games with a QB Rating over 100, and has tossed 7 TDs in his last two games. He’s on fire, and the mediocre Washington pass defense is not a unit to fear right now. They’ve given up 13 TD passes on the season, and their secondary is hurting… Finally, Marc Bulger owners can start him with some sort of confidence. The offense is relatively healthy, and Bulger is riding two strong 300-yard performances heading into San Francisco for what should be an easy matchup. The 49ers give up 216.4 yards a game and have allowed 13 TDs with only 6 INTs… Donovan McNabb‘s peripherals have been fairly strong all season, but the TDs haven’t been there. He’ coming off a four-touchdown performance and facing a weak Dolphins defense that should have all kinds of trouble with Reggie Brown, Kevin Curtis and Brian Westbrook in the passing game. The Dolphins have been giving up 2 TDs through the air over the last month, and anything less than 2 TDs and 260 yards would be a disappointment… When Derek Anderson throws for 3 TDs in the first half, on the road, against the Steelers, you know the kid is for real. Anderson finished with 204 yards and 2 TDs in Week 4 against the Ravens, but that was on just 18 attempts and the Browns will be throwing a lot more this time around…

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7 CommentsPosted by Andrew Thell and Brian Spencer on Nov. 14, 2007 at 1:00pm in NFL, NFL Fantasy News

NBA Fantasy Hoops: Picks and Rolls 11/13

November 13, 2007

Photo by Brian Babineau/NBAE via Getty Images

- The Boston Celtics were obviously going to be a vastly improved team this season. There was a lot of debate about just how good they could be, with some pundits maintaining that they were instant title favorites while other suggested NBA Champions are molded, not bought. ETB has been somewhere in the middle, believing that such a radical experiment needs to be seen in action before meaningful conclusions can be drawn. I’ve now seen them in action, and I’m impressed. I’ve always maintained that the offseason moves to acquire Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett put them on the short list for a title (alongside the San Antonio Spurs, Phoenix Suns, Detroit Pistons, Dallas Mavericks, Houston Rockets and Utah Jazz), but I never expected this team to gell so quickly. I thought it would take a month for them to find a rhythm, but it hasn’t been that way. Pierce, Allen and Garnett have all put aside any concerns over superstar egos, and they’re each embracing their roles. Perhaps just as importantly, Rajon Rondo doesn’t look lost at the point, while Eddie House has emerged as an an ideal offensive complement on the outside.

It’s important to note that we’re only five games into the season. The Celtics are one of the thinnest teams in the NBA, and a major injury to any of the Big Three would devastate them. We shouldn’t fall in love with the numbers just yet… but I admit it, those numbers are very impressive already. On the defensive end the Celts lead the NBA in opponent’s FG%, allowing them to shoot just 40.7% from the floor. They’re also leading the NBA in steals with 10.8 per game. On the other end of the floor, the Celts are also first the Association in team FG%, hitting 52.4% of their shots. Boston has gone 5-0 while averaging 107.6 points a game and surrendering just 91.0 per, good for an average margin of victory of 16.6. Again, it’s extremely early. Too early to draw significant conclusions beyond this: these guys are really good.

Ok, enough of my blatant homerism for KG, onto the Fantasy Hoops…

Up and Down Game

Push It:

Luke Ridnour: It’s barely registered on the stat line, but Luke Ridnour is back in the starting lineup for the Sonics and needs to be owned in all leagues until he proves otherwise. When he gets playing time Ridnour is a phenomenal source of assists and FT% (5.2 assists and 85.5% FTs career) with strong steals and threes, and there should be plenty of shots in Seattle. He registered 7 assists in his first game in the starting lineup and should average over 6 if he gets 30+ minutes.

Jeff Green: Another Sonic and another guy who should be owned in most leagues after being dropped too soon. Every year inexperienced fantasy owners drop young players way too early after a couple of bad performances, and every year there are a couple of players who make them regret it–Green could be one of them this year. After a few quiet performances to start the season, the 5th overall pick has played 24+ minutes in two straight and put up 17 and 19 points in each, respectively. The Sonics aren’t going to the playoffs this season and it will be all about developing guys like Green and Durant as the year wears on.

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No CommentsPosted by Andrew Thell on Nov. 13, 2007 at 3:37pm in NBA, NBA Fantasy News

Fantasy Football: Week Eleven Stock Report

November 12, 2007

Photo Credit: AP Photo/Bill Kostroun

There’s only a few weeks left until the fantasy playoffs kick off, in some leagues as little as four. Whether you’re fighting to stay alive or positioning your playoffs-bound team for a high seed, keeping up on which players are seeing an uptick (and downtick) in their performance is crucial. And wouldn’t you know it, Week Ten in the NFL saw some significant developments.

Lucky for you, ETB has emerged from The Local Watering Hole with notes on the latest gridiron heroes and zeroes, and are here to share them with you, no strings attached. Except your first-born child. And a hot plate of au gratin potatoes. It’s not much to ask. Don’t be so cheap.

Big Gainers:

Selvin Young, RB, Denver Broncos: In our infinite wisdom, we’ve been touting the undrafted rookie out of Texas as a Buy Low player, and this became the week where his value has risen to such that he’s now squarely outside of that category. With Travis Henry nursing an ankle injury and anxiously awaiting his hearing for allegedly smoking that schwag from “Dr. Smoke,” Young stepped up against the Chiefs to the tune of 129 combined yards and a visit to the endzone. Henry will meet with NFL Authorities this week to discuss his positive drug test, and if his “I’m innocent, it was second-hand smoke from my friends” excuse doesn’t fly, HC Mike Shanahan has vowed that Henry will not return to the team this season. Apparently he’s passed numerous lie detector and hair-sample tests, so he may yet avoid punishment. Either way, Young proved he’s capable and should be owned in all leagues, even if he doesn’t have great matchups in the immediate future.

Jeremy Shockey, TE, New York Giants: Who is that man with the short, stringy hair, the horrible tattoos, and the 100-yards receiving game, and what have you done with our favorite underachieving tight end with the horrible tattoos and long, stringy hair? “The Shockster,” as some elements of his diehard Hasidic fanbase in our neck of the woods are fond of calling him, was the apple of Eli Manning’s eye against the Cowboys, catching 12 passes for 129 yards and 1 TD, by far his best game of the season. He has fantastic matchups in Weeks 11 and 12 against the Lions and Vikings, respectively, and should keep rolling with Plexiglass Burress more and more limited by his ankle injury.

Ryan Grant, RB, Green Bay Packers: Anytime one breaks the century mark against the Vikings’ beefy rush defense, it should be considered a notable accomplishment. That’s exactly what Grant, an undrafted rookie out of Notre Dame, did on Sunday, cementing his status as the Pack’s featured back and likely setting himself up for 20 carries a week until further notice. Don’t go too overboard in your projections though: his touchdown against Minny was the first of his NFL career, and Green Bay is going to stick to its pass-first offensive gameplan. And as ETB’s astute regular Jon Jon Mackey pointed out in the Hangover, much of his yardage came when the Vikings were heavily scheming towards containing Favre.

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1 CommentPosted by Andrew Thell and Brian Spencer on Nov. 12, 2007 at 10:17pm in NFL Fantasy News

ETB’s Week Ten NFL Hangover

November 12, 2007

Ryan Grant surprised the Vikings(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Are we just experiencing the annual NFL Fatigue and getting more psyched about the return of the NBA, or was yesterday kind of a “blah day” in the NFL?

- It was one of the league’s top rushing defenses versus the league’s absolute worst rushing offense, and the latter surprisingly won out in Green Bay. The Packers have finally found their RB1, as Ryan Grant recorded his second 100+ yard rushing game in three weeks with an improbable 139-combined yards, 1-TD performance against the Vikings. It was the first time any opposing back has crossed the century mark against Minnesota, and Grant’s 30-yard TD scamper was the longest of the season for any Packers’ RB. Grant should be a solid flex-play from here on out, with favorable matchups coming up against Carolina and Detroit in Weeks 11 and 12.

- Fox broadcaster Daryl “Moose” Johnston may have accidentally revealed the secret to Eagles’ HC Andy Reid’s two-point conversions: “a little card.” Johnston explained that they keep a little card in a little chest on the sidelines, and that the little chest is locked and requires a key to be opened. ETB did some research last night, and we found out that it’s not just a little chest with a little key. Reid actually blows a tiny whistle, a small dwarf emerges with a little pillow, and on that little pillow rests the little key for the little chest hidden on the sidelines containing tiny plays for Eagles football games.

- The Rams and Saints played like we all expected them to this season, both putting up and giving up points, and it ended in a 37-29 Ram victory—their first of the season. Steven Jackson returned and only posted a middling 3.5 YPC, but he did manage 100 total yards, 5 receptions, a rushing TD and… a passing TD. His beleaguered owners will take it. Meanwhile, Reggie Bush carried the ball just 7 times for 17 yards, but he did score early and also caught 5 passes. Bush should have lit up this Rams defense, and while he was dealing with injuries all day, it’s looking more and more like Bush will never be an every-down back in the NFL. He’s got loads of potential and tools to work with, and he can be a great offensive option, but he’s just not that good of a running back.

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5 CommentsPosted by Andrew Thell and Brian Spencer on Nov. 12, 2007 at 12:28pm in NFL, NFL Fantasy News

ETB’s Week Ten Fantasy Football Mailbag

November 10, 2007

ETB's elaborate mail-sorting system

It’s “win-now time” in the fantasy football season, so ETB is here to help you through the tough decisions on your fantasy roster. Every Saturday we’ll go back through any questions posted in the comments section or emailed to us directly throughout the week and address ‘em here.

Some of these Q&A’s will pertain to your fantasy roster, too; lots of them will not. If you have a question for us, drop us an email at brian@emptythebench.com no later than 3pm on Fridays and we’ll try to include your question in the mailbag. Or, of course, you can post it somewhere in the comments. Please understand that volume will dictate whether or not we get to everyone. And, of course, if you have friends with questions too, tell ‘em about ETB and we’ll fix their wagon. Fix it real good.

We try to tell you which moves have the greatest probability of success. We’re not (technically) clairvoyant. Remember that the right decision is the one that has the greatest probability of producing the desired results, not the one that actually does. Trading Edgerrin James for Adrian Peterson is the right move, even if AP sprains an ankle on Sunday. Hitting with 20 showing is the wrong move, even if there’s an ace on top of the deck.

Onto your dilemmas… names have been changed to protect the innocent.

So here is my deal: I have Brian Westbrook, Steven Jackson, Edgerrin James, Jesse Chatman, and snagged Priest Holmes after LJ went down (I don’t have LJ). I’ve been analyzing the “stats” and monitoring Jackson as well, but I can’t come up with any solid answers.

My league plays 2 RBs and a W/R, so I plan on playing three of them. What would you do (other than play Westbrook because he’s an animal)? Thanks for the help!

- Joseph Shebadu, Jr., Ypsilanti, Michigan

Andrew:
Joey Joe Joe! Obviously you’re going to go with Westbrook every week. That leaves two slots for the remaining four running backs. Prist Holmes has a great matchup against a terrible rush defense and LJ is going to miss this game. However, we don’t think the Chiefs are ready to lean on Priest just yet and we don’t think he would produce at an elite level even if they did. Jesse Chatman played extremely well in Ronnie Brown’s absence two weeks ago, and he’s also tempting at home, but the Buffalo rush defense has been better than advertised so far and isn’t giving up many TDs (just 4 on the season).

That leaves Edgerrin James at home against a Detroit defense that has played very well lately, but has still given up 7 TDs on the ground. Edge will be leaned on heavily in this game and is going to get all of the goal-line carries in a game that should see Arizona put up a couple of touchdowns on the day. You’ll want to keep an eye on his status as the week goes on, but HC Scott Linehan has said that Steven Jackson should play and has looked good. Jackson is coming off a bye week and was playing well in the Rams last game before the back spasms. The New Orleans linebackers have played well this season, but we still see S-Jax as a strong option here. If Jackson doesn’t manage to play, then roll with Jesse Chatman in his stead.

I have Anquan Boldin, Dwayne Bowe, Brandon Marshall, James Jones, and Chris Henry and only 3 WR slots. What do you think?

- Martin Mull, Hollywood, CA

Brian:
Well, Martin, I assume you’ve taken Boldin out of this equation already and have him locked into a starting slot. Though the Detroit Lions defense is playing well and causing turnovers, they are still giving up yardage to skilled wideouts and he has a lot of size on the Lions’ smallish corners. And don’t forget that in his debut game as rookie back in ’03, he burned Detroit for 10 catches, 217 yards, and 2 TDs. So there’s one down.

As for your other two starting slots, overall good guy Chris Henry was reportedly in some kind of silly spat with a parking lot attendant, and it remains to be seen if that will affect his status on Sunday. Seeing as how it’d be his first game of the season anyhow, and that Chad Johnson looks like he’ll play, we’d sit him and give it a week to see how that whole thing shakes down. So that’s one out of the picture.

Between Marshall, Bowe, and Jones, I’d start Jones (the Viqueens secondary is oh-so-beatable and Favre will be throwing a ton) and Marshall. Jay Cutler is likely going to start, and even when banged up he’s obviously an upgrade over Patrick Ramsey. Truth be told, I don’t like either matchup, but Bowe will be dealing with Champ Bailey all day and has been tailing off some as of late. So: Boldin, Jones, and Marshall.

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1 CommentPosted by Andrew Thell and Brian Spencer on Nov. 10, 2007 at 3:47pm in NFL Fantasy News

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