September 29, 2007
We’re all about daring predictions here at ETB. We love analyzing and second-guessing other people’s picks, but we also enjoy putting ourselves on the line as well. That’s why in the days leading up to Sunday every week we’ll be gazing into our crystal ball and both of us will post the ten predictions our meditations generate.
Not all of them will come true, but when they do we’re going to be bragging about them. Repeatedly. And when they don’t, you’ll have to let us know about it because we won’t be bringing it up. In no particular order, it’s ETB’s NFL Week 4 Crystal Ball.
1. I don’t care if the Jets stack eight men in the box all day. Marshawn Lynch is going to be the focal point of the Bills offense and he’s going to have a huge day on Sunday, a coming out party to be noticed by the national media. Opponents are rushing for 121 yards and scoring 27 points a game versus these softies, and the rock-solid Lynch is going to churn out 130 hard-fought yards and a pair of touchdowns.
2. This is no knock on Steven Jackson, we’re fans here at ETB and understand he hasn’t been working under ideal conditions. That said, in his first game as a starter rookie Brian Leonard will come out and post more fantasy points than Jackson has in any game this season. He’s a tough kid with good quickness who should be very active in the passing game and he’s the unquestioned goal-line back. Something in the neighborhood of 90 total yards and a score sounds right.
3. The Bears secondary will be without Nathan Vasher, Mike Brown and Charles Tillman and the defensive line will be missing Tommie “Gun” Harris. Safety Adam Archuleta will also be playing with a broken hand. With seventh-rounder Trumaine McBride and Ricky Manning Jr as the starting cornerbacks, the Lions come out and hang 350 passing yards and 3 TDs on Chicago.
4. This one is more of a gut feeling than anything. I think Andre’ Davis finishes with just a few receptions, fewer than 6, but ends up having a big fantasy day anyway because of one massive reception. One of only eight men in NFL history to score on a 99-yard TD catch, Davis scores from over 50 yards out.
5. JP Losman is currently averaging 125 passing yards a game with 0 TDs and 1 INT. Trent Edwards won’t be any worse. He can’t be. Losman is the better QB, but the Bills get their finest QB performance so far this season on Sunday.
6. If Hines Ward misses this weekend’s game, Santonio Holmes will step up and play like a WR1. He’ll get open all over the field, record 6 receptions for 85 yards and score at least once.
7. After scoring a touchdown in his third straight game and topping 45 yards rushing in his fourth straight this week, Sammy Morris becomes a legitimate weekly flex play and comparisons to Marion Barber’s 2006 season are made (despite the obvious gulf in talent between the two).
8. Every week in the NFL somebody gets hurt. Usually they’re not big fantasy names. Sometimes they are, like in Week Three: Steven Jackson, Deuce McAllister, Jake Delhomme, Rudi Johnson, Vernon Davis, Ahman Green, Hines Ward and Calvin Johnson. This week and even bigger name goes down: Larry Johnson. Bothered by a sore hamstring that caused him to miss all of practice on Wednesday, playing on the road against the Chargers and forced into a work load that’s too big, too soon he goes down with something that keeps him out at least three weeks. I’m morbid, I know.
9. ETB favorite Brandon Jacobs makes a surprise appearance on Sunday, vulturing a touchdown.
10. Joe Jurevicious scores a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens secondary which has struggled against bigger, more physical receivers all season.